CIGI Commentaries
Financial Stability Board: The Arduous Road to Mission Accomplished
Since the international financial crisis of 2008, the G20 has devoted extensive attention to the improvement of international financial regulatory standards. Having agreed on a wide range of new standards, the G20 is now facing growing questions about whether these will actually be implemented at the national level in a consistent manner. In addition to recommitting themselves to adopt these standards, the G20 leaders should use the 2012 Mexican summit to strengthen the capacity of the Financial Stability Board (FSB) to address this issue.
Series: Perspectives on the G20: The Los Cabos Summit
As leaders of the G20 nations prepare for their summit at Los Cabos, Mexico June 18-19, CIGI experts present their perspectives and policy analysis on the most critical issues, such as strengthening the architecture of the global financial system, food security, climate change, green growth, global imbalances, and employment and growth.
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Friday, 18 May 2012Financial Stability Board: The Arduous Road to Mission Accomplished
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Thursday, 17 May 2012Fundamentals Lost: Failures of Policies and Governance to Promote Economic Growth
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Thursday, 17 May 2012Los Cabos and Climate Change: The Art of the Possible
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Thursday, 17 May 2012The Evolving Role of the G20
Fundamentals Lost: Failures of Policies and Governance to Promote Economic Growth
As we approach the Los Cabos summit, it is easy to be downbeat about the state of the global economy. The G20 goals of a full recovery from the Great Recession and putting the global economy on a sustainable growth path, as outlined in the Cannes Action Plan for Growth and Jobs, are not only far from realization, but they have also suffered serious setbacks due to failures of policy and governance.
Los Cabos and Climate Change: The Art of the Possible
Advocates all want to get their pet topic discussed at the G20. Economic and financial crisis issues will dominate. Employment and commodity price volatility are next in line. Development, corruption, tax havens and anti-money laundering, drug trafficking and transnational crime, protecting the marine environment and resuscitating trade negotiations will all compete for attention. Climate change will receive very little agenda time.
The Evolving Role of the G20
In considering the evolving role of the G20, it is worth reflecting upon the factors that shaped the group’s original mandate. As the first decade of the new century progressed, it became increasingly clear that the international balance of power had shifted, but the institutional framework, which sought to manage the global economy, had not adapted to reflect this new reality. The financial crisis of 2008 forced the leading economic powers (notably the US, where the crisis originated) to confront the need to integrate the emerging economies more effectively into international economic decision making.
Russia as a Re-Emerging Donor: Catching Up in Africa
Does it make sense to speak of Russia as an “emerging donor”? At first glance — not really.
Refuting Hegel? Striking the Right Balance between Financing and Adjustment in International Adjustment
In 2008-2009, when confronted by the gravest global economic crisis in 80 years, G20 governments and their central banks responded promptly and appropriately by providing ample liquidity to financial markets, avoiding pro-cyclical fiscal policies and resisting protectionist trade measures that would invite retaliation.
WTO Resilient But Changed After Ministerial
The recent ministerial meeting held in Geneva in December, demonstrated that while the Doha Round may be dead, the World Trade Organization (WTO) is resilient, but changed as an organization. In fact, the meeting surprised many hardened observers by producing some tangible deliverables .
History Lessons for the Euro Zone
It may be a new year, but Europe faces the same malaise that plagued it in 2011. And, with the application of the same policy prescriptions, the prognosis, sadly, is unchanged.
UN Panel Calls for Integration of Environment into International Economic Reforms
A quarter of a century ago, the Brundtland Commission outlined the concept of sustainable development for the first time. It began its rather sobering report with the memorable phrase, “The Earth is one but the world is not,” to describe the interactions between the world’s environmental and economic and political systems. Sustainable development was to provide a new paradigm for economic growth, social equality and environmental sustainability.
Global Sustainability: Pursuing the Elusive Prize
As the world’s political and business leaders head home from the World Economic Forum in Davos, it is right asking which of the world’s toughest challenges were identified, let alone solved, on the “Magic Mountain.” Timely, then, that today the UN launches the report of the UN Secretary General’s High-Level Panel on Global Sustainability.
Climate Negotiations After Cop 17: The Likelihood of Meaningful Action
Throughout two decades of climate negotiations, diplomats have invoked the phrase “common but differentiated responsibilities” — CBDR — as shorthand for the idea that while all countries need to take action on climate change, their actual responsibilities will differ, depending on how developed they are.
Greece in 2011: Argentina in 2002 Redux?
The Greek tragedy of sovereign debt, the overlay of a potential for regional recession, social turmoil, perceptions of structural corruption, and political theatrics and brinkmanship is all too familiar. This is reminiscent of Argentina in 2002, which remains the largest sovereign debt default in economic history. This comparison should give the Greeks some hope — after all, Argentine 10-year government bonds today are comparable to other emerging market economies and investors flocked back to Argentina. What did Argentina do and what can Greece learn from its experience?
Series: Looking Back, Looking Forward: China and the World Trade Organization 10 Years after Accession
After more than 15 years of intensive negotiations, China joined the World Trade Organization in December 2001. This was a major advance for the global trading regime. In this exclusive commentary series, a select group of experts discuss what China’s accession has meant for the global trade system, examine how it has impacted China and consider the challenges to come in the next decade.
A Changed Landscape and Future Portents: Reflections on China, American Business and US-China Relations 10 Years After WTO Accession
At 10 years’ remove from the sturm und drang in American policy circles over China’s accession to the WTO, the entire episode rests more quietly. So much has happened in China, in the world economy and in US-China economic and political relations since 2001. The burning questions that surrounded discussions in the run-up to China’s accession to the WTO seem, to many observers, muted and diminished. The multi-year “phase-in” process accompanying some of China’s most far-reaching adjustments has expired.
Lagarde and the IMF: The Unlikely Winners of the Cannes G20 Summit
Most world leaders left the recent G20 meetings in Cannes with little to show and with great disappointment at failing to come to any detailed resolution over many of the key systemic issues that were on the agenda. Yet, there appears to be one unintended winner of the Cannes summit: Christine Lagarde and the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The managing director of the IMF and former French finance minister, who played a key role in organizing the G20 agenda under her former — and known to be prickly — boss President Nicolas Sarkozy, left the meetings with promises of additional funding, boosting of global confidence in IMF surveillance roles and endorsements from China and Brazil in the IMF as the credible monitor of Europe’s promises at reform.
The G20 Battens Down the Hatches
The Cannes G20 Summit was almost blown off course by the sovereign debt crisis, which euro zone members tried, but failed, to stem in the days preceding the summit. In spite of the economic storm, the G20 managed, on a number of important files, to reaffirm and clarify directions taken and commitments made at earlier summits. Arguably, however, the summit also represents a step back from some other aspects of the G20 economic cooperation agenda, which, while more daring and difficult, could have fostered a more dynamic response to the unfolding crisis.
What Next for China in the G20? — Reorienting the Core Agenda
On the day after the Cannes G20 summit concluded, the lead article in The Guardian stated that Cannes “showed how power has shifted to Beijing.” In Le Monde, it was reported that China will likely become the second-largest contributor to the International Monetary Fund (IMF). It would be wise to avoid the China hype. Nonetheless, the signs are that Beijing will increase its contributions to the IMF in the not-too-distant future.
Giving Up (Some) Sovereignty Is Hard to Do: The Continuing Neglect of Global Economic Governance
The heady days of the London and Pittsburgh summits of 2009 are gone. The spectre of the advanced world entering a “lost decade” is a real prospect. Governments are withdrawing stimulus as quickly as it was introduced. Mismanagement of the euro zone has largely eroded confidence to deal with the crisis that threatens to tear apart the single currency area. We are no nearer to a resolution of the euro crisis.
No Fairy Tale at the Cannes G20 Summit
The media doesn’t get it. John F. Kennedy observed that “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie — deliberate, contrived and dishonest — but the myth — persistent, persuasive and unrealistic.” The media perpetuates the myth that 20 political leaders can crunch long-standing issues and solve complex problems in one and a half days.