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Barry Carin Publications
Los Cabos and Climate Change: The Art of the Possible
Advocates all want to get their pet topic discussed at the G20. Economic and financial crisis issues will dominate. Employment and commodity price volatility are next in line. Development, corruption, tax havens and anti-money laundering, drug trafficking and transnational crime, protecting the marine environment and resuscitating trade negotiations will all compete for attention. Climate change will receive very little agenda time.
No Fairy Tale at the Cannes G20 Summit
The media doesn’t get it. John F. Kennedy observed that “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie — deliberate, contrived and dishonest — but the myth — persistent, persuasive and unrealistic.” The media perpetuates the myth that 20 political leaders can crunch long-standing issues and solve complex problems in one and a half days.
CIGI'11 — An Unfinished House: Filling the Gaps in Global Governance
The background paper for the CIGI conference “An Unfinished House: Filling the Gaps in International Governance” provides a useful collection of facts and observations about the universe of global governance arrangements. It offers a preliminary description of the critical gaps and inadequacies — to assist in thinking about the principal dilemmas and research priorities.
Beyond Cannes: Looking Ahead to 2012 and Mexico
Mexico is thinking about its hosting of the 2012 G20 summit. The Ministry of Finance, the Sherpa office and other offices in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Labor and Agriculture are planning well in advance to help ensure a successful summit next June. Mexico’s scope for sculpting the agenda and preparatory process will be influenced by developments in the current economic turmoil — the G20’s priority will be action to avert a downturn scenario. Economic and financial issues may monopolize attention, sidelining non-financial issues for the moment.
Toward a Post-2015 Development Paradigm
The International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC) and CIGI convened a meeting of development experts, representatives from international organizations and research institutes, and policy and governance experts to discuss a post-2015 development paradigm. The four-day meeting in Bellagio, Italy resulted in agreement on a proposed architecture of 12 new development goals.
The G20 Agenda and Process: Analysis and Insight by CIGI Experts
These 21 CIGI commentaries analyze the policy issues and debates under discussion in 2010 that are still relevant to the ongoing G20 agenda under the French presidency and the G20’s aspirations for the future.
Challenges and Opportunities for the French Presidency: The G20 — 2011 and Beyond
As host of the sixth G20 summit later this year, France is under pressure to succeed in resolving visible issues and delivering on the existing agenda. A CIGI report considers the issues facing the French G20 presidency and the need for the G20 to define its role quickly or risk becoming irrelevant.
The Future of the G20 Process
Having lost the “fellowship of the lifeboat” prevailing during the acute phase of the global financial crisis, the G20 countries are increasingly at odds on some issues and in search of legitimacy for their new institution. Differences exist in their diagnoses of the global recession, in their prescriptions for recovery and, in particular, on exchange rate policies, observes CIGI senior fellow Barry Carin. He suggests ways the G20 can become more inclusive of the needs of nations within and outside its membership.
A G20 “Non-Secretariat”
Remarks from CIGI Senior Fellow Barry Carin presented at the G20 Seoul International Symposium: Toward the Consolidation of G20 Summits - from Crisis Committee to Global Steering Committee. Dr. Carin argues that a “G20 non-secretariat is an idea whose time has come."
An Outside-the-Box Approach to Climate Change Negotiations
The sherpa teams organizing the next G20 summits are in a position to design a win-win package deal to help break the climate change deadlock. Progress requires leadership - a small group of countries must agree to move forward together. A small group of key countries could have significant impact if they agree to a "Grand Bargain" involving cooperation on research and development, future standards, security of supply and measurement of emissions. Forget targets and transfers for now. In the absence of leadership, the waters will continue to rise.
