Thursday, 2 April 2015
Gross capital inflows and outflows to and from emerging market economies have witnessed a significant increase since the early 2000s. This rapid increase in the volume of flows, accompanied by sharp swings in volatility, has amplified the complexity of macroeconomic management in emerging economies. This paper focuses on capital flows in selected emerging Asian economies, analyzing surge and stop episodes, then evaluating the policy measures undertaken by these economies in response.
Monday, 30 March 2015
The years prior to the global financial crisis were a peculiar period for the International Monetary Fund (IMF). It was struggling to define its role and justify its existence even as trouble was brewing in countries it would later help to rescue. To understand the Fund’s current strengths and weaknesses, a look back at this era is highly illuminating. Three major developments for the IMF, spanning the years 2005–2009, are chronicled.
Monday, 30 March 2015
This paper shows that debt flows have contractionary effects on emerging markets’ output, while equity flows have expansionary effects. Such correlations can be driven by counter-cyclical debt flows and pro-cyclical equity flows, or by debt flows that lead to an appreciation and hurt exports, and by equity flows that improve the productivity of the real economy, broadly defined.
Friday, 27 March 2015
This paper observes that short-selling bans spread globally beginning in 2007. The authors seek to empirically determine whether there were spillover effects over and above the domestic impact from the imposition of such bans.
The Global Liquidity Safety Net: Institutional Cooperation on Precautionary Facilities and Central Bank Swaps
Friday, 20 March 2015
A country’s qualification for the IMF’s Flexible Credit Line should open access to the precautionary facilities of regional financial arrangements and to central bank swaps.
Tuesday, 17 March 2015
The UK has reasserted its desire to be a leader in the world economy. If it pries some followers away from the US, we could end the inertia that has beset global policy making in recent years. Prime Minister David Cameron’s pledge to join the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) despite the Obama administration's objections is perhaps the most significant development in global economic governance since the BRICS nations decided to formalize their relationship through an annual summit.
Tuesday, 3 March 2015
Due to the 2008-2009 global financial crisis, the Chinese government began to promote renminbi (RMB) internationalization in order to raise its international status, decrease reliance on the US dollar and advance domestic structural reform. This internationalization has achieved progress not only in cross-border trade settlement, but also in the offshore RMB markets. However, the rampant cross-border arbitrage and the relatively slow development of RMB invoicing compared to RMB settlement are becoming increasingly problematic.
Changing Global Financial Governance: International Financial Standards and Emerging Economies since the Global Financial Crisis
Friday, 27 February 2015
One of the most remarkable changes in global financial governance since the 2008-2009 crisis has been the primary forums that establish international standards extending their memberships to include emerging economies. There are two disparate perspectives in the literature on the impact of this change on international financial regulation: the weakening cooperation view, which sees an attenuation of international cooperation due to this change, and the enduring status quo view, which sees the domination of global financial governance by advanced economies persisting even despite it. This paper presents an alternative — more positive — perspective.
Thursday, 26 February 2015
Since China's pilot scheme for RMB cross-border settlement was launched in 2009, it has become increasingly important for monetary authorities in terms of macroeconomic policy frameworks. The authors use an analytical model that includes monetary supply and demand to examine the influences of RMB cross-border settlement on China's domestic interest rate, asset price and foreign exchange reserves. They also look at how RMB settlement behaves in different ways with the various items in China's balance of payments.
Tuesday, 24 February 2015
I don’t know near enough about Brazil to pass judgement on Guido Mantega’s tenure as the country’s finance minister. But he already has a legacy, for it was he who gave us the “currency war.” Mr. Mantega (in)famously uttered that phrase in 2010 to the delight of headline writers, business channel pundits and foreign-exchange analysts the world over.