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Some Chinese agencies involved in economic affairs have begun to assume in their research that the yuan will weaken to 7 to the dollar by the end of the year, said people familiar with the matter.

The research further factors in the yuan falling to 8 to the dollar by the end of 2016, according to the people, who asked not to be identified as the studies haven’t been made public. Those projections -- which suggest a depreciation of more than 8 percent by Dec. 31 and about 20 percent by the end of 2016 -- were adopted after the currency...

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