Why did the polls fail to predict a Donald Trump presidency?

Global News

November 11, 2016

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Simon Palamar, a research fellow at Centre for International Governance Innovation, said it’s important to keep in mind that polls have margins of error, usually two to three per cent.

“In a lot of representative polls [with Clinton ahead] that might be well within the margin of error,” Palamar said. “It’s important to think of this as a very close election and the polls reflected that it was quite close, especially in the last week.”

He said many polls are still conducted over the phone and can be skewed by voters who don’t want to talk with pollsters.

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