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Progress in International Economic Governance

2013 CIGI Survey of Progress in International Economic Governance

2013 Responses by Expert

Browse full survey responses from each expert by selecting their name below:

Survey Home Quantitative Summary

Brett House / 2013 Responses

Overall Ranking

25%

The overall ranking represents the average of all responses provided by the expert — detailed responses to each dimension are provided below. Note that some participants provided their evaluation for a few dimensions only.

Macroeconomic and Financial Cooperation

25%
Question: How much progress has been made on macro-economic and international monetary cooperation in the last year?

“Surveillance has, if anything, retreated. The IMF has done good work on revising its lending facilities, particularly the transformation of the CCL into the FCL, but no new countries that would immediately benefit, such as Spain, have been convinced to accept it. The attempt to consider debt management in the G20 has been abortive. Coordination of fiscal targets has not advanced. Discord remains on financing the European crisis. The IMF is still too small.”

- Brett House
CIGI Senior Fellow

International Cooperation on Financial Regulation

40%
Question: How much progress has been made in international cooperation on financial regulation in the last year?

“Basel III and FSB work are important first steps and should be recognized as such. Banks are already making moves to raise capital. Surveillance frameworks are improving. But the FSB and G20 work on these issues needs to be brought to intermediate conclusions and deadlines for action agreed.”

- Brett House
CIGI Senior Fellow

Development

30%
Question: How much progress has been made in cooperation on international development in the last year?

“ODA targets from Monterrey and Gleneagles remain unfulfilled. MDGs have provided an excellent framework for strategic action and time-bound targeting, but major multilateral and national development institutions have not sufficiently integrated them into their operations and strategic planning. Major G8 initiatives such as the Muskoka agreements on child and maternal health are still pending. There needs to be a better system of monitoring and accountability on past commitments. Innovative financing sources discussion is a distraction from the need to follow through on existing goals. Similarly, the post-2015 agenda is regressive: there is no need to take the focus off achieving the MDGs. We should have simply extended the deadline.”

- Brett House
CIGI Senior Fellow

Cooperation on Trade

20%
Question: How much progress has been made in agreements on international trade rules and institutional architecture in the last year?

“WTO process is being actively undermined by regional and bilateral negotiations.”

- Brett House
CIGI Senior Fellow

Cooperation on Climate Change

10%
Question: How much progress, on balance, has been made on climate change in the last year?

“The UNFCCC is dead. Climate change negotiations should be moved to the G20.”

- Brett House
CIGI Senior Fellow

Progress Scale

Major Progress 85-100

Estimates between 85% and 100% represent the ability to withstand the pressures of a severe, unanticipated major shock to the world economy, preventing sustained unemployment or inflation. International agreements are effective. Key institutions have strengthened their governance and accountability and have the tools and resources required to perform effectively.

Major Progress 80-100

Estimates between 80% and 100% represent the ability to withstand the pressures of a severe shock to the world economy and to prevent sustained unemployment or inflation.

Some Progress 70-84

Estimates between 70% and 84% reflect some progress that inspires confidence in the stability of the world economy against large-scale shocks Conditions are conducive to inclusive global economic growth.

Some Progress 60-79

Estimates between 60% and 79% reflect conditions that inspire confidence and that are conducive to growth.

Minimal Progress 55-69

Estimates between 55% and 69% indicate a level of progress sufficient to inspire confidence in long term, sustainable balanced growth, but with non-negligible risks to the world economy if confronted by shocks.

Status Quo 45-54

Estimates between 45 and 54% represent stagnation in progress or regression, with low to negligible developments in international discussions or a lack of displayed interest. Public documents exclude mention of the topic or pay minimal due to the issue, with little to no developments in stability or growth.

Minimal Progress 40-59

Estimates between 40% and 59% indicate a level of progress sufficient to inspire confidence in the long term, but with non-negligible risks to the world economy if confronted by shocks.

Minimal Regression 30-44

Estimates between 30 and 44% represent a level of regression sufficient to cause concern for the direction of long term growth. Conditions have not yet worsened significantly, but the global economy shows signs for concern.

Some Regression 20-39

Estimates between 20% and 39% represent some regression, pointing to non-negligible risks to the stability of the world economy if confronted by large-scale shocks.

Some Regression 15-29

Estimates between 15% and 29% represent some regression that instills concern for the stability of the world economy against large-scale shocks. Indications suggest insufficient progress and conditions unfavorable to long term growth.

Major Regression 0-14

Estimates between 0% and 14% represent major regression towards a fractious and chaotic international system, with significant risks to the stability of the world economy. Multilateral negotiations are at a standstill, and key institutions lack the tools and resources to perform effectively.

Major Regression 0-19

Estimates between 0% and 19% represent major regression toward a fractious and chaotic international system, with significant risks to the stability of the world economy.