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Progress in International Economic Governance

2013 CIGI Survey of Progress in International Economic Governance

2013 Responses by Expert

Browse full survey responses from each expert by selecting their name below:

Survey Home Quantitative Summary

James M. Boughton / 2013 Responses

Overall Ranking

40%

The overall ranking represents the average of all responses provided by the expert — detailed responses to each dimension are provided below. Note that some participants provided their evaluation for a few dimensions only.

Macroeconomic and Financial Cooperation

40%
Question: How much progress has been made on macro-economic and international monetary cooperation in the last year?

"We have to be realistic. When leaders and ministers meet in the G20 context, they spell out mutually acceptable goals and define a strategy to meet them. When they return home, they have to focus instead on national interests and objectives. Short-term challenges dominate in the domestic arena, while global progress requires a longer-term focus. The reports that the IMF staff prepare for the G20 are typically anodyne and tend to soft-pedal the description of necessary reforms, but they do focus on the right issues to motivate G20 discussions: collective actions to strengthen global growth, avoid the risk of a renewed financial crisis, reduce payments imbalances, and stabilize financial systems through appropriate regulations. But expecting the resulting discussions to lead to dramatic improvements in policy implementation requires a very sunny disposition.

Similarly, the agenda for reforming IMF governance is well specified and has been agreed by G20 leaders. The IMF Executive Board is making progress toward deciding how to complete the process. Implementation, however, depends crucially on legislative action by the U.S. Congress, which has no realistic chance of approval in the coming months."

- James M. Boughton
CIGI Senior Fellow

International Cooperation on Financial Regulation

N/A
No response was provided by James M. Boughton for this question.

Development

N/A
No response was provided by James M. Boughton for this question.

Cooperation on Trade

N/A
No response was provided by James M. Boughton for this question.

Cooperation on Climate Change

N/A
No response was provided by James M. Boughton for this question.

Progress Scale

Major Progress 85-100

Estimates between 85% and 100% represent the ability to withstand the pressures of a severe, unanticipated major shock to the world economy, preventing sustained unemployment or inflation. International agreements are effective. Key institutions have strengthened their governance and accountability and have the tools and resources required to perform effectively.

Major Progress 80-100

Estimates between 80% and 100% represent the ability to withstand the pressures of a severe shock to the world economy and to prevent sustained unemployment or inflation.

Some Progress 70-84

Estimates between 70% and 84% reflect some progress that inspires confidence in the stability of the world economy against large-scale shocks Conditions are conducive to inclusive global economic growth.

Some Progress 60-79

Estimates between 60% and 79% reflect conditions that inspire confidence and that are conducive to growth.

Minimal Progress 55-69

Estimates between 55% and 69% indicate a level of progress sufficient to inspire confidence in long term, sustainable balanced growth, but with non-negligible risks to the world economy if confronted by shocks.

Status Quo 45-54

Estimates between 45 and 54% represent stagnation in progress or regression, with low to negligible developments in international discussions or a lack of displayed interest. Public documents exclude mention of the topic or pay minimal due to the issue, with little to no developments in stability or growth.

Minimal Progress 40-59

Estimates between 40% and 59% indicate a level of progress sufficient to inspire confidence in the long term, but with non-negligible risks to the world economy if confronted by shocks.

Minimal Regression 30-44

Estimates between 30 and 44% represent a level of regression sufficient to cause concern for the direction of long term growth. Conditions have not yet worsened significantly, but the global economy shows signs for concern.

Some Regression 20-39

Estimates between 20% and 39% represent some regression, pointing to non-negligible risks to the stability of the world economy if confronted by large-scale shocks.

Some Regression 15-29

Estimates between 15% and 29% represent some regression that instills concern for the stability of the world economy against large-scale shocks. Indications suggest insufficient progress and conditions unfavorable to long term growth.

Major Regression 0-14

Estimates between 0% and 14% represent major regression towards a fractious and chaotic international system, with significant risks to the stability of the world economy. Multilateral negotiations are at a standstill, and key institutions lack the tools and resources to perform effectively.

Major Regression 0-19

Estimates between 0% and 19% represent major regression toward a fractious and chaotic international system, with significant risks to the stability of the world economy.