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Progress in International Economic Governance

2015 CIGI Survey of Progress in International Economic Governance

2015 Responses by Expert

Browse full survey responses from each expert by selecting their name below:

Survey Home Quantitative Summary

Hongying Wang / 2015 Responses

Overall Ranking

60%

The overall ranking represents the average of all responses provided by the expert — detailed responses to each dimension are provided below. Note that some participants provided their evaluation for a few dimensions only.

Macroeconomic and Financial Cooperation

45%
Question: How much progress has been made on macro-economic and international monetary cooperation in the last year?

The tortuous handling of the Greek debt crisis showed serious limitations of financial cooperation in the euro zone and came close to Greece exiting the common currency. However, for now the crisis has been more or less kept under control. Countries remain far apart on how to improve sovereign debt crisis restructuring with the global south trying to work out a framework under the UN, while the global north prefers the IMF as the reform platform.

- Hongying Wang
CIGI Senior Fellow

International Cooperation on Financial Regulation

55%
Question: How much progress has been made in international cooperation on financial regulation in the last year?

Authorities have continued to tweak banking regulations beyond Basel III, and to develop rules regarding futures and other derivatives, including trying to find ways to use the huge amounts of derivatives trade data that have been collected.

- Hongying Wang
CIGI Senior Fellow

Development

70%
Question: How much progress has been made in cooperation on international development in the last year?

The establishment of the New Development Bank and the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank have brought more financial resources and, more importantly, competition to development financing. Both the new banks and the traditional development banks have expressed a desire to collaborate in funding development, though thus far no concrete steps have been taken.

- Hongying Wang
CIGI Senior Fellow

Cooperation on Trade

50%
Question: How much progress has been made in agreements on international trade rules and institutional architecture in the last year?

A small number of countries (notably the United States) have thus far approved the Trade Facilitation Agreement. The World Bank has provided assistance to developing countries regarding border management and access to information. But the progress has been minimal, with many countries expressing doubt that they can secure domestic approval of the Agreement in the near future.

- Hongying Wang
CIGI Senior Fellow

Cooperation on Climate Change

80%
Question: How much progress, on balance, has been made on climate change in the last year?

The US-China agreement in late 2014 was a breakthrough and may provide momentum for further cooperation in the future.

- Hongying Wang
CIGI Senior Fellow

Progress Scale

Major Progress 85-100

Estimates between 85% and 100% represent the ability to withstand the pressures of a severe, unanticipated major shock to the world economy, preventing sustained unemployment or inflation. International agreements are effective. Key institutions have strengthened their governance and accountability and have the tools and resources required to perform effectively.

Major Progress 80-100

Estimates between 80% and 100% represent the ability to withstand the pressures of a severe shock to the world economy and to prevent sustained unemployment or inflation.

Some Progress 70-84

Estimates between 70% and 84% reflect some progress that inspires confidence in the stability of the world economy against large-scale shocks Conditions are conducive to inclusive global economic growth.

Some Progress 60-79

Estimates between 60% and 79% reflect conditions that inspire confidence and that are conducive to growth.

Minimal Progress 55-69

Estimates between 55% and 69% indicate a level of progress sufficient to inspire confidence in long term, sustainable balanced growth, but with non-negligible risks to the world economy if confronted by shocks.

Status Quo 45-54

Estimates between 45 and 54% represent stagnation in progress or regression, with low to negligible developments in international discussions or a lack of displayed interest. Public documents exclude mention of the topic or pay minimal due to the issue, with little to no developments in stability or growth.

Minimal Progress 40-59

Estimates between 40% and 59% indicate a level of progress sufficient to inspire confidence in the long term, but with non-negligible risks to the world economy if confronted by shocks.

Minimal Regression 30-44

Estimates between 30 and 44% represent a level of regression sufficient to cause concern for the direction of long term growth. Conditions have not yet worsened significantly, but the global economy shows signs for concern.

Some Regression 20-39

Estimates between 20% and 39% represent some regression, pointing to non-negligible risks to the stability of the world economy if confronted by large-scale shocks.

Some Regression 15-29

Estimates between 15% and 29% represent some regression that instills concern for the stability of the world economy against large-scale shocks. Indications suggest insufficient progress and conditions unfavorable to long term growth.

Major Regression 0-14

Estimates between 0% and 14% represent major regression towards a fractious and chaotic international system, with significant risks to the stability of the world economy. Multilateral negotiations are at a standstill, and key institutions lack the tools and resources to perform effectively.

Major Regression 0-19

Estimates between 0% and 19% represent major regression toward a fractious and chaotic international system, with significant risks to the stability of the world economy.